Trading Profitably on the Foreign Exchange Market
You may be asking yourself "how does one begin to trade profitably as a currency trader?".
First, it is important to closely monitor foreign equity markets to attempt to predict or model how their respective currencies will perform against other currencies, ideally, currencies that are not very closely related, nor proportional, to the former currency.
For example, Mexico's economy is closely linked the the U.S. economy, in some respects, but in other respects, they are not very directly proportional since Mexico's economy is currently improving as a consequence of increased consumer financing, an increased number of remittances from family members in the U.S., and other factors.
Back to our original point, when you begin to notice that an equity market is about to become bullish, it may be a signal that the currency of the country in which the equity market you're looking at is based may be about to rise. Conversely, if the market turns bearish, that may be a bad sign for the country's respective currency. Nevertheless, you may still be able to capitalize on bear markets and economies by short-selling a currency pair. That is one distinguishing feature in currency trading: you may bet against a country's economy (including your own!) by betting against that country's respective currency.
Other currency fundamentals to consider include a country's interest rates, deficit, exports and imports, as well as, and probably very importantly, oil prices. Look at how the recent OPEC meeting affected oil prices and how that in turn had a considerable effect on the DJIA.
Joshua M. Kunken is Currency Analyst for ForeignMarketWatch.com. His articles have been featured at ForexTrack.com.
Latest News
Currency Trading Market Conditions Remain Challenging: Breakout ... Daily FX, NY - Sharp US Dollar gains have produced profits in several of our currency trading strategies on the week, and a continuation of US Dollar strength would make ... US Dollar Forecast to Rally Against Euro, British Pound, Fall ... |
 Voice of America | Treasury’s Lead Role in China in Flux New York Times, United States - Besides, some noted, China’s currency, by maintaining its peg to the dollar, has risen in relation to the currencies of other trading partners because the ... Yuan's Fall Watched Ahead of US-China Summit China hopes talks with US boost coordination Paulson Seeks to Broaden Access to China |
Stocks drubbed at open CNNMoney.com - US crude for January delivery tumbled $3.46 to $50.99 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In currency trading, the dollar fell against the yen and ... |
 AFP | Yen Strengthens as Manufacturing Slump Weakens Yuan, Ruble Bloomberg - Bank Rossii, which manages the currency against a basket of dollars and euros to mitigate the effect of currency swings, widened the ruble’s trading band to ... Dollar Rises as Global Manufacturing and Stock Markets Plunge Down Is Dollar's December Direction Yen Extends Gains as Signs of Global Recession Sap Carry Trade |
UK Pound Plunges, Gilts Rise as Data Add to Signs of Slump Bloomberg - The British currency declined against all of its 16 major counterparts tracked by Bloomberg after property Web site Hometrack Ltd. said house values in ... |
Yuan Falls to One-Month Low as China Seeks to Shore Up Economy Bloomberg - “The central bank may want to test the market’s response to the possibility of a weaker yuan, but most likely it will keep the currency stable till the end ... Yuan tumbles to end at bottom of band vs dollar Yuan posts record low against dollar Rate cut sees yuan decline |
 New York Times | Some Nations That Spurned the Euro Reconsider New York Times, United States - After turmoil in the currency markets nearly destroyed the currencies of Iceland and Poland, the two countries are rethinking their opposition to the euro. ... |
GLOBAL MARKETS-Grim economic outlook pummels stocks, oil slides guardian.co.uk, UK - ... also lifting the dollar, so it's possible the dollar will get a bit of a bid out of this, but currency trading is going to be choppy," Reid added. ... |
AU Preview: Q3 GDP Should be Bo... ForexTV.com, NY - Forex (or FX or off-exchange foreign currency futures and options) trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. ... |
Ruble Plunge Prompts Doubling of Reserve Spending, Survey Shows Bloomberg - Bank Rossii buys and sells foreign currency to keep the ruble within a trading band against a basket comprised 55 percent of dollars and rest in euros. ... Russian Stocks, Ruble Drop as Production Falls More Than in ’98 |
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